Odds Now At 90% (VERY LIKELY) The U.S. Prime Rate Will Remain at 8.50% After The June 12, 2024 FOMC Monetary Policy Meeting

Prime Rate Prediction

Prime Rate Forecast

As of right now, our odds are at 90% (very likely) the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will vote to keep the benchmark target range for the fed funds rate at  5.25% - 5.50% at the June 12^TH, 2024 monetary policy meeting, with the United States Prime Rate (a.k.a Fed Prime Rate) holding at 8.50%.

 =======

Jobs + Wages Weakening: Exactly What The Fed Wants
  

• 
  The number of jobless people per job opening crept up during March, 2024 (graphic.)  A lagging indicator, but nevertheless: further proof that the Fed's mission of killing jobs, and keeping short-term interest rates elevated, to tame inflation, is working.

• From the April Jobs Report: A rare negative month-on-month reading for Average Weekly Earnings (-0.09%.)

Stay tuned...

=======

The United States Prime Rate was raised to the current 8.50% on July 26, 2023.

=======

NB: U.S. Prime Rate = (The Fed Funds Target Rate + 3)

======= 

Current Odds

• Current odds the U.S. Prime Rate will remain at 8.50% after the June 12^TH, 2024 FOMC monetary policy meeting: 90% (very likely.)
  

=========