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Friday, April 18, 2025

Odds Now At 95% (Very Likely) The U.S. Prime Rate Will Continue at 7.50% After the May 7, 2025 FOMC Monetary Policy Meeting

United States Prime Rate Forecast
Prime Rate Prediction

Prime Rate Forecast

As of right now, our odds are at 95% (very likely) the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve will vote to leave the benchmark target range for the fed funds rate (TRFFR) at 4.25% - 4.50% at the May 7TH, 2025 monetary policy meeting, leaving the U.S. Prime Rate at the current 7.50%.

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Here's a quote from Fed Chair Jerome Powell from his April 4th speech at the Economic Club of Chicago...

“The level of the tariff increases announced so far is significantly larger than anticipated. The same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth.”
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Stay tuned...

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The United States Prime Rate was lowered to the current 7.50% on December 18, 2024.
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SUMMARY

  • Current odds the U.S. Prime Rate will continue at the current 7.50% after the May 7TH, 2025 FOMC monetary policy meeting: 95% (very likely.)
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