Odds Now At 90% (Very Likely) The U.S. Prime Rate Will Continue At 8.50% After The March 20, 2024 FOMC Monetary Policy Meeting
Prime Rate Prediction |
Prime Rate Forecast
As of right now, our odds are at 90% (very likely) the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will vote to keep the benchmark target range for the fed funds rate at 5.25% - 5.50% at the March 20TH, 2024 monetary policy meeting, with the United States Prime Rate (a.k.a Fed Prime Rate) holding at 8.50%.
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The U.S. economy remains strong, despite the relatively high cost of borrowing. Both short- and long-term interest rates are restrictive right now, and have been for some time. This interest-rate environment should have helped to cool the American consumer down, but so far, that hasn't happened.
The economy grew at a healthy 3.3% during Q4, 2023, while the unemployment rate held steady at 3.7% last month, with an estimated 353,000 non-farm jobs added to the American workforce.
So, at this point, it's unlikely the Fed will lower the benchmark fed funds target rate on March 20TH, as many were hoping might happen.
Stay tuned...
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NB: U.S. Prime Rate = (The Fed Funds Target Rate + 3)
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Current Odds
- Current odds the U.S. Prime Rate will continue at 8.50% after the March 20TH, 2024 FOMC monetary policy meeting: 90% (very likely.)
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Labels: banking, banks, disinflation, fed_funds_target_rate, Fed_Prime_Rate, housing, Housing_Inflation, inflation, money, odds, prime_rate, prime_rate_forecast, prime_rate_prediction
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